Zahlungsbilanz und Devisenmarkt
The Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates

Course Overview

In this introductory course to the core field of "Financial Markets and International Finance", students will be introduced to the monetary aspects of a country's international economic tansactions. They will get to know the meaning of important concepts like the balance of payments, the exchange rate, currency markets, international capital mobility, purchasing power parity, and interest rate parity. This will enable them to better understand and interpret recent developments in international financial markets, and understand the implications for government and business policy markets. Specifically we shall address the policy options available to governments in the present era of economic globalization, especially with respect to international currency systems (flexible vs. fixed exchange rates, currency unions).

Content: Systematic representation of all foreign transactions (international trade, international capital turnover) of an economy in the balance of payments. Relationship between these transactions and domestic investment and savings, as well as the domestic government budget deficit. Incentives for foreign exchange transactions, with special emphasis on international capital flows, interest rates and currency risk. Impact of exchange rate movements on domestic goods market and domestic employment. Balance of payments equilibrium under fixed exchange rates. Monetary and fiscal policy towards internal and external equilibrium at fixed and flexible exchange rates. Essential problems of alternative currency systems with special emphasis on the European Monetary Union.

This course page also covers the Intensifying Course:
Financial Markets and International Finance
IK Finanzmärkte und internationale Währungsbeziehungen
LVA-Nr.: 239.116

TEXTBOOK:
Paul R. Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld, International Economics: theory and policy, Pearson: Addison-Wesley, 2006.

The 6th edition is also ok.

Grading

Grading for the lecture section (239110KS) will be based on a midterm examination (50%) and a final examination (50%). Grading for the intensifying section (239116IK) will be based on participation in class work done in class each week and class assignments (60%), and also a final examination (40%). Two weeks of assignments will be posted on this page and will be covered in class. They will be due one week after the the assignment is fully covered, after the class on the Tuesdays. Assignment due dates are listed on the assignments.

239110KS The lecture schedule and assignment schedule is as follows:

DATE Time Location Topics/Readings/Slides
Mo 05.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
National Income Accounting and the Balance of Payments
K&O chapter 12
SLIDES from lecture 1
Mo 12.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Exchange Rates and the Foreign Exchange Market
K&O chapter 13
SLIDES from lecture 2
Mo 19.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Money, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates
K&O chapter 14
SLIDES from lecture 3

Mo 26.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Price Levels and the Exchange Rate in the Long Run
K&O chapter 15
SLIDES from lecture 4

Mo 16.4.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Output and the Exchange Rate in the Short Run
K&O chapter 16
SLIDES from lectures 5 and 6
Mo 23.4.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Output and the Exchange Rate in the Short Run
K&O chapter 16
SLIDES from lectures 5 and 6
The Mundell-Fleming model
Mo 30.4.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3

MID-TERM EXAM
THE EXAM COVERS THROUGH
KRUGMAN & OBSTFELD CHAPTER 16

Mo 07.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Fixed Exchange Rates and Foreign Exchange Intervention
K&O chapter 17
The International Monetary System -- fixed rates through 1973
K&O chapter 18
SLIDES from lectures 7,8
Mo 14.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Exchange Rate Systems
SLIDES from lectures 7,8
Links on currency boards
- investopedia
- "Currency Boards, More than a Quick Fix?"
Economic Policy 2000.
Mo 21.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Currency Management with Fixed Exchange Rates SLIDES from lecture 9
Mo 04.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
---- NO CLASS ----

Mo 11.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Macroeconomic Policy Coordination with Floating Rates
K&O chapter 19 SLIDES from lecture 10
Mo 18.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HS3
Optimum Currency Areas and the Euro
K&O chapter 20 SLIDES from lecture 11
Mo 25.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HS2
FINAL EXAM IN ROOM HS2

MIDTERM

Average: 41.48, Standard Deviation: 9.93

MATNR: 155091  GRADE: 26 MATNR: 356759  GRADE: 49 MATNR: 555178  GRADE: 47
MATNR: 155624  GRADE: 36 MATNR: 357069  GRADE: 37 MATNR: 555246  GRADE: 27
MATNR: 155841  GRADE: 33 MATNR: 404526  GRADE: 39 MATNR: 555274  GRADE: 49
MATNR: 235251  GRADE: 42 MATNR: 455169  GRADE: 55 MATNR: 555583  GRADE: 44
MATNR: 255631  GRADE: 39 MATNR: 455371  GRADE: 42 MATNR: 555796  GRADE: 51
MATNR: 255652  GRADE: 52 MATNR: 455381  GRADE: 41 MATNR: 556039  GRADE: 34
MATNR: 256813  GRADE: 51 MATNR: 455737  GRADE: 37 MATNR: 556048  GRADE: 24
MATNR: 355012  GRADE: 45 MATNR: 455809  GRADE: 19 MATNR: 556172  GRADE: 14
MATNR: 355256  GRADE: 52 MATNR: 455831  GRADE: 34 MATNR: 556192  GRADE: 43
MATNR: 355452  GRADE: 41 MATNR: 456032  GRADE: 36 MATNR: 556601  GRADE: 29
MATNR: 355542  GRADE: 49 MATNR: 456338  GRADE: 54 MATNR: 656386  GRADE: 44
MATNR: 355549  GRADE: 51 MATNR: 456414  GRADE: 25 MATNR: 656421  GRADE: 40
MATNR: 356024  GRADE: 50 MATNR: 456421  GRADE: 48 MATNR: 656476  GRADE: 45
MATNR: 356153  GRADE: 43 MATNR: 456697  GRADE: 20 MATNR: 657382  GRADE: 44
MATNR: 356162  GRADE: 51 MATNR: 457066  GRADE: 55 MATNR: 657423  GRADE: 49
MATNR: 356207  GRADE: 43 MATNR: 457407  GRADE: 46 MATNR: 8411734  GRADE: 47
MATNR: 356214  GRADE: 34 MATNR: 555047  GRADE: 50 MATNR: 9435069  GRADE: 47
MATNR: 356365  GRADE: 40 MATNR: 555062  GRADE: 50 MATNR: 9856713  GRADE: 27
MATNR: 356650  GRADE: 51 MATNR: 555069  GRADE: 52

The intensifying course assignments will be posted below. The exam schedule is also listed:

DATE Time Location Assignments
Di 13.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
READINGS: Krugman & Obstfeld 12,13
Problem Set 1: NOTE THAT PART B IS DUE 20-March-2007 : PS1.pdf

ANSWERS TO PROBLEM SET 1:
answer sheet
GDP1.xls
GDP2.xls
Di 20.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901

READINGS: you should be up to Krugman & Obstfeld 11,12,13.
Problem set 1 is due this week.
Problem set 2 will be posted later this week, and is not due until 17.4.2007.

Problem Set 2: NOTE THAT PART B IS DUE 17-April-2007 : PS2.pdf

The in-class assignment will be given out in class for 20.3.2007.
PDF version of in-class assignment (will be given out in class to do in groups): Inclass_PS1.pdf
Please review K&O Chapters 12 & 13 before class.
Di 27.3.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
SLIDES from discussion of exchange rate determination (see the supplement at the end of the 239110KS slides).
Di 17.4.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901

We will be discussing links between trade policy and the real exchange rate:

Background reading:
(1) J. de Melo and S. Robinson, "Product Differentiation of Foreign Trade in Computable General Equilibrium Models," Journal of International Economics 27 (1989), 47-67.

(2) S. Devarajan et al, "Simple CGE modeling," in J.Francois and K. Reinert, eds., Applied Methods for Trade Policy Analysis, Cambridge University Press 1997.

Slides:
Trade Policy and the Exchange Rate

Spreadsheet model:
We will also be discussing a spreadsheet version of this model:
BangladeshCGE123.xls
EgyptCGE123.xls

Assignment:
Problem set 3, due 07 May 2007

Di 24.4.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901

Third Assignment from the 123 model:
Problem set 3, due 08 May 2007

ANSWERS TO PROBLEM SET 2:
answer sheet

We will discuss the attached set of press reports (in groups) in class...
ratesApr07.pdf

Di 08.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
Di 15.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
Di 22.5.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
Di 05.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
---- NO CLASS ----
Di 12.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
Di 19.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
Answer sheet for PS4:
answer sheet
Di 26.6.2007
15:30-17:00
HF9901
FINAL EXAM

 

 

 

 

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